Cluttered-Infancy · Polymarket wallet 0xfd6e…456d

Wallet snapshot

Cluttered-Infancy has made 78 trades on Polymarket across 57 markets, $355 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (49%) and politics (14%). On 38 resolved markets the win rate is 55.3%, lifetime P&L +$22. It holds 15 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?No · $12 · 82¢ → 92¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No · $10 · 91¢ → 91¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No · $7 · 13¢ → 86¢
• US strike on Mexico by December 31?No · $4 · 67¢ → 96¢
• Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes · $3 · 30¢ → 81¢
• Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?No · $2 · 71¢ → 64¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $2 · 28¢ → 15¢
• Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No · $2 · 22¢ → 17¢
• US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No · $1 · 78¢ → 97¢
• Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?No · $1 · 79¢ → 95¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No · -$0 · Sep 11, 2026
• Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No · -$0 · Sep 11, 2026
• Trump out as President before GTA VI?No · +$0 · Sep 11, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No · +$7 · Aug 4, 2026
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No · +$1 · Jul 1, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes · +$1 · May 12, 2026

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