Marvelous-Headlight · Polymarket wallet 0xfcf4…527f

+$3,213 lifetime P&L · 62.7% win rate · 59 resolved markets · 0xfcf4e98f6e8cf7a161dcd13865f834090a58527f

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Wallet snapshot

Marvelous-Headlight has made 887 trades on Polymarket across 69 markets, $60K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (78%) and politics (13%). On 59 resolved markets the win rate is 62.7%, lifetime P&L +$3,213. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 3, 2026.

Largest open positions

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes · $961 · 57¢ → 44¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes · $63 · 20¢ → 22¢

Latest closed positions

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Yes · $0 · Oct 1, 2026
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No · +$67 · Sep 26, 2026
US x China tariff agreement by September 30?No · -$3 · Sep 24, 2026
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes · +$35 · Sep 24, 2026
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No · -$313 · Sep 23, 2026
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$34 · Sep 22, 2026
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Yes · +$90 · Sep 22, 2026
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?Yes · +$130 · Sep 18, 2026
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Yes · -$21 · Sep 12, 2026
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes · +$46 · Sep 1, 2026

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