GeopoliticsResolved

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?

YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$1.70M
15,166 trades
Smart Whales
500
of 1,675 traders · 10 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

267 YESvs243 NO
52%48%
52% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 29% YES by dollars · 109 YES vs 105 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$5.5K of $66.2K is hedged across different prices by 10 wallets. True directional: YES $17.8K·NO $43.0K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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