ObsidianTrail · Polymarket wallet 0xfb94…eb89

Wallet snapshot

ObsidianTrail has made 65 trades on Polymarket across 31 markets, $509 in volume. Most of it is in sports (45%) and crypto (23%). On 30 resolved markets the win rate is 63.3%, lifetime P&L +$27. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?". Last trade: Mar 18, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $11 · 76¢ → 97¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes · $0 · 20¢ → 3¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?No · +$37 · Mar 18, 2026
• Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes · -$9 · Mar 4, 2026
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes · -$0 · Mar 2, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?Yes · +$1 · Feb 5, 2026
• Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?Yes · -$9 · Feb 4, 2026
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes · +$1 · Jan 31, 2026
• Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,700 by end of January?Yes · +$1 · Jan 21, 2026
• Dota 2: Heroic vs New Growth (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: South America Closed Qualifier PlayoffsYes · +$3 · Jan 19, 2026
• Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3)Yes · +$8 · Jan 18, 2026
• Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027?Yes · +$2 · Jan 13, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.