derda123 · Polymarket wallet 0xf936…b6c1

Wallet snapshot

derda123 has made 503 trades on Polymarket across 159 markets, $29K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (31%) and politics (25%). On 155 resolved markets the win rate is 71.6%, lifetime P&L +$1,019. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?". Last trade: Dec 26, 2025.

Largest open positions

• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No · $63 · 81¢ → 95¢
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes · $4 · 18¢ → 6¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes · -$2 · Dec 26, 2025
• Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?No · +$12 · Dec 26, 2025
• Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes · +$12 · Dec 26, 2025
• Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?No · +$3 · Dec 26, 2025
• Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?No · +$10 · Dec 26, 2025
• Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?Yes · +$31 · Dec 26, 2025
• Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No · +$9 · Dec 26, 2025
• Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes · +$19 · Dec 26, 2025
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No · +$45 · Dec 26, 2025
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No · +$503 · Dec 26, 2025

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.