Polymarket wallet 0xf805…5199

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xf805…5199 has made 184 trades on Polymarket across 105 markets, $306 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (16%) and politics (9%). On 89 resolved markets the win rate is 60.7%, lifetime P&L +$8. It holds 8 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 19, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?No · $2 · 45¢ → 100¢
• Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 China revenue mix <22%?Yes · $1 · 23¢ → 29¢
• United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%?Yes · $1 · 42¢ → 51¢
• United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 85%+?Yes · $1 · 26¢ → 30¢
• Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?No · $1 · 68¢ → 74¢
• Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?No · $1 · 49¢ → 50¢
• Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?No · $1 · 74¢ → 67¢
• Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $680 Week of October 19 2026?No · $1 · 47¢ → 33¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?No · -$1 · Oct 17, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 17, 2026
• Will Meta (META) close at $730-$740 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?No · +$0 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of October 12 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 16, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?Yes · +$2 · Oct 15, 2026
• Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.