GregThatcher · Polymarket wallet 0xf5bb…653f

Wallet snapshot

GregThatcher has made 218 trades on Polymarket across 90 markets, $1,791 in volume. Most of it is in economics (38%) and politics (23%). On 88 resolved markets the win rate is 85.2%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?". Last trade: Dec 21, 2025.

Largest open positions

• Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No · $49 · 66¢ → 83¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $36 · 76¢ → 91¢

Latest closed positions

• Macron out by June 30, 2026?No · +$1 · Jul 1, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes · -$0 · May 8, 2026
• AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Apr 1, 2026
• Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?Yes · -$1 · Mar 23, 2026
• Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?Yes · +$1 · Mar 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?Yes · -$4 · Feb 1, 2026
• Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No · -$0 · Feb 1, 2026
• Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?No · +$1 · Jan 28, 2026
• No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes · +$0 · Jan 28, 2026
• Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?No · +$5 · Jan 13, 2026

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