ffff434 · Polymarket wallet 0xf5b0…40a1

Wallet snapshot

ffff434 has made 29 trades on Polymarket across 15 markets, $69 in volume. Most of it is in sports (33%) and geopolitics (27%). On 11 resolved markets the win rate is 72.7%, lifetime P&L +$12. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is Yes on "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in October?". Last trade: Oct 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in October?Yes · $1 · 51¢ → 21¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes · -$0 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · +$1 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?No · +$2 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes · -$2 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?No · +$2 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes · +$2 · Sep 16, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No · +$4 · Aug 4, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18?Yes · +$2 · Jul 18, 2026
• Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No · +$2 · Jul 15, 2026
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes · +$2 · Jul 15, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.