Bardeus · Polymarket wallet 0xf535…fa13

Wallet snapshot

Bardeus has made 141 trades on Polymarket across 124 markets, $486 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (40%) and politics (36%). On 109 resolved markets the win rate is 67%. It holds 15 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Kash Patel out by December 31?". Last trade: May 23, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Kash Patel out by December 31?No · $15 · 63¢ → 77¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $7 · 54¢ → 95¢
• Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No · $5 · 92¢ → 98¢
• Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No · $5 · 73¢ → 97¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $5 · 55¢ → 70¢
• Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?No · $5 · 84¢ → 98¢
• Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?No · $3 · 81¢ → 70¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $3 · 83¢ → 94¢
• Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?No · $3 · 87¢ → 94¢
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · $2 · 81¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$0 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$0 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Kash Patel out by June 30?No · +$1 · Jul 1, 2026
• Epstein client list released by June 30?No · +$1 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No · +$2 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.