Afraid-Stepgrandmother · Polymarket wallet 0xf4fc…56eb

Wallet snapshot

Afraid-Stepgrandmother has made 183 trades on Polymarket across 19 markets, $20K in volume. Most of it is in politics (50%) and sports (11%). On 11 resolved markets the win rate is 90.9%, lifetime P&L +$1,528. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $4,678 · 72¢ → 87¢
• Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No · $404 · 69¢ → 72¢
• Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes · $291 · 68¢ → 73¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $69 · 70¢ → 69¢
• Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes · $51 · 58¢ → 54¢
• Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes · $7 · 65¢ → 67¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$75 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes · -$2 · Oct 4, 2026
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$2 · Oct 1, 2026
• Spread: Georgia (-1.5)No · +$0 · Sep 28, 2026
• Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Yes · $0 · Sep 25, 2026
• Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?Yes · +$11 · Sep 25, 2026

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