JigleBell · Polymarket wallet 0xef42…b1f7

Wallet snapshot

JigleBell has made 75 trades on Polymarket across 34 markets, $119 in volume. Most of it is in politics (35%) and sports (12%). On 10 resolved markets the win rate is 60%, lifetime P&L +$6. It holds 19 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-01 House election by 10%-15%?". Last trade: Oct 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-01 House election by 10%-15%?No · $3 · 70¢ → 97¢
• Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?Yes · $2 · 35¢ → 42¢
• Will Gen.G Esports make a roster change by December?Yes · $2 · 48¢ → 50¢
• Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?Yes · $2 · 27¢ → 25¢
• Will the New Hampshire 2026 Senate race be within 5%?No · $1 · 68¢ → 99¢
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Yes · $1 · 28¢ → 20¢
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election by 10%-15%?No · $1 · 70¢ → 98¢
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election by 30%-35%?No · $1 · 72¢ → 97¢
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee Senate election by 20%-25%?No · $1 · 74¢ → 100¢
• Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?Yes · $1 · 55¢ → 71¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the longest game of the 2026 MLB Postseason last 11+ innings?Yes · +$1 · Oct 29, 2026
• Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes · +$9 · Oct 29, 2026
• Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-16?No · +$1 · Oct 21, 2026
• Next DeepSeek Flash released by November 30, 2026?Yes · +$2 · Oct 17, 2026
• Will M&T Bank (MTB) beat quarterly earnings?Yes · +$1 · Oct 17, 2026
• Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on October 10?Yes · +$2 · Oct 12, 2026
• Jinan: Kangyuan Shi vs Akira Santillan

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