Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election by 10%-15%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$3.5K
202 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 74 traders · 1 on both sides
TN-07 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $20.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs5 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 81% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$5+4 new NO$72
$0 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 39% of the money is not a bet
$3 of $9 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $4·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$6
Avg Win Rate
95.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$5(-74.5%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$48
Avg Win Rate
81.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$4(+8.2%)
Whales
5
S
smallreceipt🥇
Entry 99¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 · WR 88.9%
H
Hugin-og-Munin🥈
Entry 77¢·14.4 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $11 · WR 66.6%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 89¢·4.6 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 72.1%
R
RayGuyhedged
Entry 90¢·1.9 shares·also $5 on YES
Invested
$2
Win Rate
96.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 96.3%
J
JigleBell
Entry 71¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 60.0%
Smart Whale Trades
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