Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee Senate election by 20%-25%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$4.9K
210 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 93 traders
Tennessee Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $24.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs15 NO
94%
94% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 19% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+9 new YES$12+8 new NO$133
$0 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $29 is directional: YES $6·NO $24YES Team
Total Invested
$6
Avg Win Rate
96.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$5(-87.1%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$174
Avg Win Rate
85.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$194(+111.8%)
Whales
15
Q
qwen300.fund🥇
Entry 100¢·34 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $34 · WR 86.2%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 68¢·40 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $27 · WR 86.2%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 30¢·60 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $18 · WR 87.7%
T
Tee1000
Entry 83¢·20.7 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $17 · WR 81.8%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 24¢·38.9 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $9 · WR 87.0%
G
god83743894
Entry 30¢·30 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $9 · WR 86.1%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 30¢·30 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $9 · WR 88.9%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 30¢·30 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $9 · WR 89.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 30¢·30 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $9 · WR 88.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 30¢·30 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $9 · WR 88.2%
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