arshia.m · Polymarket wallet 0xed91…4a2b

Wallet snapshot

arshia.m has made 56 trades on Polymarket across 35 markets, $1,085 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (91%) and sports (6%). On 30 resolved markets the win rate is 60%. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?". Last trade: Sep 20, 2026.

Largest open positions

• NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No · $9 · 85¢ → 95¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes · $0 · 70¢ → 11¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes · $0 · 34¢ → 6¢

Latest closed positions

• Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No · +$3 · Oct 2, 2026
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?No · +$1 · Sep 20, 2026
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No · +$0 · Sep 20, 2026
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Yes · +$0 · Sep 20, 2026
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No · +$1 · Sep 20, 2026
• US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No · -$0 · Jun 15, 2026
• US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No · -$1 · Jun 15, 2026
• US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes · +$2 · Apr 10, 2026
• US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes · +$3 · Apr 10, 2026
• Internet Access restored in Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Apr 10, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.