Serious-Breadfruit-Calculus · Polymarket wallet 0xec20…79c3

Wallet snapshot

Serious-Breadfruit-Calculus has made 415 trades on Polymarket across 151 markets, $8,790 in volume. Most of it is in sports (95%). On 147 resolved markets the win rate is 76.9%, lifetime P&L -$67. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 10, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Yes · $267 · 34¢ → 26¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes · $82 · 16¢ → 16¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes · $45 · 18¢ → 14¢

Latest closed positions

• Oilers vs. SharksYes · +$2 · Oct 10, 2026
• Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsYes · +$2 · Oct 10, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETNo · -$2 · Oct 3, 2026
• Liberty vs. DelawareYes · +$1 · Oct 3, 2026
• Counter-Strike: K27 vs Team Nemesis (BO5) - CIS LAN Championship PlayoffsYes · -$27 · Oct 3, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6PM ETYes · +$1 · Oct 2, 2026
• LoL: Colossal Gaming vs The Secret Club Esport (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss StageYes · -$11 · Oct 2, 2026
• Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group CYes · +$7 · Oct 2, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes · -$45 · Oct 2, 2026
• Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 PlayoffsYes · +$39 · Oct 2, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.