hvan · Polymarket wallet 0xe8d7…afea

Wallet snapshot

hvan has made 258 trades on Polymarket across 58 markets, $48K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (53%) and economics (28%). On 52 resolved markets the win rate is 90.4%. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $143 · 92¢ → 98¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $126 · 90¢ → 98¢
• Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No · $41 · 97¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No · +$9 · Sep 15, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes · -$97 · Aug 30, 2026
• Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No · +$2 · Aug 26, 2026
• Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No · +$2 · Aug 26, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No · +$17 · Aug 12, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No · +$10 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No · +$12 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes · +$3 · Jun 17, 2026
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No · +$17 · Jun 15, 2026
• Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No · $0 · Jun 4, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.