Teugnhausen · Polymarket wallet 0xe813…2a24

Wallet snapshot

Teugnhausen has made 279 trades on Polymarket across 134 markets, $713 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (40%) and politics (31%). On 129 resolved markets the win rate is 66.7%. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Dec 11, 2025.

Largest open positions

• Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?No · $1 · 91¢ → 97¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $1 · 76¢ → 78¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo · $1 · 67¢ → 39¢
• Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $0 · 23¢ → 10¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes · $0 · 20¢ → 4¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 9, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes · +$1 · May 18, 2026
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes · +$0 · May 9, 2026
• NATO article 5 in 2025?Yes · -$1 · Mar 18, 2026
• Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Yes · -$1 · Jan 1, 2026
• Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes · -$0 · Jan 1, 2026
• Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?Yes · -$3 · Jan 1, 2026

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