Apolone · Polymarket wallet 0xe244…def9

Wallet snapshot

Apolone has made 151 trades on Polymarket across 122 markets, $11K in volume. Most of it is in sports (39%) and geopolitics (23%). On 115 resolved markets the win rate is 68.7%. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No · $5 · 87¢ → 90¢
• Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?No · $2 · 80¢ → 96¢
• Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No · $2 · 84¢ → 96¢
• Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?No · $2 · 89¢ → 90¢
• US strike on Colombia by December 31?No · $2 · 86¢ → 78¢
• Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?No · $1 · 98¢ → 82¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 5-11?No · +$0 · Oct 12, 2026
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Trump say "250" during his remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium?Yes · +$0 · Sep 29, 2026
• Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $350 on September 21?Yes · +$0 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?No · +$0 · Sep 2, 2026
• Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-08-14?No · +$1 · Aug 14, 2026
• Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $390-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.