GeopoliticsResolved
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$13.7K
488 trades
Smart Whales
32
of 117 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs22 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 54% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$35 of $1.1K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $577·NO $488YES Team
Total Invested
$746
Avg Win Rate
63.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$672(-90.0%)
Whales
11
S
sal9999🥇
Entry 18¢·3,068.8 shares
Invested
$561
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
$-532
$-532INV $561 · WR 65.0%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥈hedged
Entry 70¢·108.7 shares·also $22 on NO
Invested
$76
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-76
$-76INV $76 · WR 55.3%
R
Relaccsed🥉
Entry 9¢·251.3 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $22 · WR 56.7%
M
ms1910hedged
Entry 12¢·143.9 shares·also $55 on NO
Invested
$17
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $17 · WR 57.9%
C
C2H5O
Entry 40¢·26 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 60.8%
M
Mrpike
Entry 18¢·54.3 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $10 · WR 69.6%
A
0xa49a7267...
Entry 22¢·9.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 57.4%
F
0xffe02776...
Entry 22¢·7.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 62.1%
F
fi5h
Entry 4¢·30 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 61.3%
C
0xc34fc382...
Entry 20¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 75.9%
Showing top 10 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.8K
Avg Win Rate
80.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.5K(+30.3%)
Whales
22
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 92¢·2,494 shares
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$196
+$196INV $2.3K · WR 85.9%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 55¢·1,298.8 shares
Invested
$712
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$586
+$586INV $712 · WR 72.2%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 70¢·791 shares
Invested
$555
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$236
+$236INV $555 · WR 88.7%
F
Fishsalad
Entry 97¢·218.6 shares
Invested
$212
Win Rate
71.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $212 · WR 71.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 95¢·160 shares
Invested
$152
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $152 · WR 79.6%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 64¢·200 shares
Invested
$128
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$72
+$72INV $128 · WR 57.7%
W
Winged-Holder
Entry 78¢·153 shares
Invested
$120
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $120 · WR 63.3%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 94¢·122.1 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $115 · WR 79.2%
K
KiruaTrading
Entry 95¢·117.4 shares
Invested
$111
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $111 · WR 61.5%
B
beatrix99
Entry 83¢·119.3 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $99 · WR 81.8%
Showing top 10 of 22
Smart Whale Trades
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