PoliticsResolved
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
YES Price
16¢
16% implied
NO Price
84¢
84% implied
Volume
$90.1K
2,276 trades
Smart Whales
72
of 627 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
34 YESvs39 NO
47%53%
53% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 58% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 11 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$4 of $515 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $297·NO $215YES Team
Total Invested
$1.0K
Avg Win Rate
67.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$517(-50.1%)
Whales
34
P
Patroclus🥇hedged
Entry 92¢·266 shares·also $120 on NO
Invested
$245
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-201
$-201INV $245 · WR 60.6%
V
Vollhorst🥈
Entry 86¢·150.7 shares
Invested
$130
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-109
$-109INV $130 · WR 66.7%
C
Cloudy-Batting🥉hedged
Entry 97¢·109 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$106
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
$-88
$-88INV $106 · WR 60.8%
K
knyzhhedged
Entry 219¢·36.9 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$81
Win Rate
71.5%
Position P&L
$-75
$-75INV $81 · WR 71.5%
A
albert.00
Entry 81¢·98.3 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
$-67
$-67INV $80 · WR 69.0%
L
letmeinthetournamentplease
Entry 19¢·400 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $77 · WR 56.1%
T
TeemuPukkihedged
Entry 42¢·150 shares·also $19 on NO
Invested
$63
Win Rate
80.4%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $63 · WR 80.4%
T
tuyppp
Entry 94¢·50 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
88.3%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $47 · WR 88.3%
G
gopfan2◆Proven
Entry 4¢·1,001.2 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$122
+$122INV $41 · WR 60.2%
H
hall.in.ass
Entry 99¢·35.7 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $35 · WR 87.5%
Showing top 10 of 34
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.8K
Avg Win Rate
78.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.3K(+46.9%)
Whales
39
I
influenz.eth🥇
Entry 30¢·672.1 shares
Invested
$203
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$360
+$360INV $203 · WR 85.8%
A
archaic🥈
Entry 90¢·184.7 shares
Invested
$167
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $167 · WR 86.8%
P
Patroclus🥉hedged
Entry 45¢·266 shares·also $245 on YES
Invested
$120
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
+$103
+$103INV $120 · WR 60.6%
L
Labdoxhedged
Entry 91¢·109.9 shares·also $10 on YES
Invested
$100
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $100 · WR 70.5%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 31¢·227.5 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$120
+$120INV $70 · WR 87.6%
B
BillyBoy94hedged
Entry 95¢·50 shares·also $16 on YES
Invested
$48
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $48 · WR 71.6%
D
dontshowmyname◆Proven
Entry 8¢·400 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
+$302
+$302INV $33 · WR 66.4%
C
Cookedtan◆Proven
Entry 22¢·112.6 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$70
+$70INV $25 · WR 85.1%
P
paspor
Entry 13¢·171.4 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$121
+$121INV $23 · WR 85.8%
T
TeemuPukkihedged
Entry 13¢·150 shares·also $63 on YES
Invested
$19
Win Rate
80.4%
Position P&L
+$107
+$107INV $19 · WR 80.4%
Showing top 10 of 39
Smart Whale Trades
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