Polymarket wallet 0x4d8e…642e

+$12 lifetime P&L · 55.6% win rate · 18 resolved markets · 0x4d8e670a30f12b62eced2388f117f9675fd1642e

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Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x4d8e…642e has made 41 trades on Polymarket across 22 markets, $178 in volume. Most of it is in politics (18%) and sports (14%). On 18 resolved markets the win rate is 55.6%, lifetime P&L +$12. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?". Last trade: Sep 5, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $6 · 45¢ → 48¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $3 · 66¢ → 13¢
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Yes · $2 · 25¢ → 15¢

Latest closed positions

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes · -$11 · Sep 20, 2026
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No · +$3 · Sep 2, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Aug 20, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No · -$11 · Aug 20, 2026
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 16?No · -$1 · Aug 17, 2026
UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)Yes · +$19 · Aug 15, 2026
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes · +$5 · Aug 15, 2026
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No · +$0 · Jul 20, 2026
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · +$17 · Jul 20, 2026
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No · +$1 · Jul 1, 2026

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