variant1.meta · Polymarket wallet 0xdf59…deb0

Wallet snapshot

variant1.meta has made 8,903 trades on Polymarket across 579 markets, $237K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (35%) and geopolitics (25%). On 475 resolved markets the win rate is 52.2%, lifetime P&L +$3,412. It holds 30 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Cuban regime falls in 2026?". Last trade: Nov 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Cuban regime falls in 2026?No · $728 · 83¢ → 97¢
• Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?No · $616 · 78¢ → 73¢
• Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No · $602 · 85¢ → 96¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No · $540 · 47¢ → 95¢
• Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?No · $442 · 81¢ → 81¢
• Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft?Yes · $391 · 79¢ → 95¢
• Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?No · $336 · 28¢ → 31¢
• Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?No · $332 · 91¢ → 96¢
• Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?No · $329 · 36¢ → 35¢
• Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?No · $321 · 89¢ → 90¢

Latest closed positions

• Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes · -$83 · Nov 12, 2026
• Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?Yes · +$290 · Nov 12, 2026
• Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?No · +$62 · Nov 12, 2026
• Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.25% before 2027?Yes · -$28 · Nov 11, 2026
• US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?No · +$52 · Nov 10, 2026
• Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · +$205 · Nov 10, 2026

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