TheLongRun · Polymarket wallet 0xde2b…2d21

+$176 lifetime P&L · 62.8% win rate · 86 resolved markets · 0xde2b4a6288c89bc5ee09a0d75a64c77745c32d21

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Wallet snapshot

TheLongRun has made 256 trades on Polymarket across 95 markets, $5,922 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (35%) and sports (21%). On 86 resolved markets the win rate is 62.8%, lifetime P&L +$176. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will GameStop acquire eBay?". Last trade: Sep 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will GameStop acquire eBay?No · $197 · 86¢ → 95¢
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes · $145 · 18¢ → 52¢
AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2026?No · $94 · 79¢ → 94¢
US recession by end of 2026?No · $46 · 80¢ → 93¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes · $41 · 82¢ → 68¢

Latest closed positions

US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes · -$17 · Aug 13, 2026
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No · +$3 · Aug 13, 2026
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?No · -$43 · Aug 13, 2026
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No · +$13 · Jul 29, 2026
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · +$24 · Jul 20, 2026
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · -$17 · Jul 20, 2026
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No · +$9 · Jul 15, 2026
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?No · -$38 · Jul 6, 2026
Will Japan go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No · -$10 · Jul 6, 2026
Will South Korea go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Yes · -$9 · Jul 6, 2026

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