Lighthearted-Optimal · Polymarket wallet 0xdd6c…9900

Wallet snapshot

Lighthearted-Optimal has made 77 trades on Polymarket across 36 markets, $1,566 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (31%) and sports (22%). On 18 resolved markets the win rate is 55.6%. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?". Last trade: Jul 10, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No · $11 · 15¢ → 54¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $3 · 25¢ → 15¢
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $3 · 28¢ → 15¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?Yes · $2 · 17¢ → 4¢
• Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes · $1 · 27¢ → 5¢
• Anthropic acquired before 2027?Yes · $1 · 14¢ → 3¢
• Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No · $0 · 26¢ → 1¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes · +$0 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?Yes · +$8 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes · -$8 · Jul 10, 2026
• Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No · +$1 · Jul 10, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes · +$8 · Jul 10, 2026
• Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?Yes · +$5 · Jul 10, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.