Capital-Union · Polymarket wallet 0xdc4a…dddc

Wallet snapshot

Capital-Union has made 598 trades on Polymarket across 320 markets, $1,652 in volume. Most of it is in sports (39%) and geopolitics (20%). On 301 resolved markets the win rate is 85.4%, lifetime P&L +$10. It holds 12 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?". Last trade: Jul 30, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $9 · 83¢ → 95¢
• Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No · $6 · 78¢ → 97¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No · $4 · 80¢ → 98¢
• Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?No · $3 · 54¢ → 93¢
• Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?No · $3 · 14¢ → 62¢
• Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?No · $2 · 56¢ → 88¢
• Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes · $2 · 76¢ → 39¢
• Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No · $1 · 90¢ → 94¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes · $0 · 12¢ → 5¢
• Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?Yes · $0 · 17¢ → 12¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes · +$2 · Sep 18, 2026
• Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Yes · -$3 · Jul 30, 2026
• Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · -$8 · Jul 30, 2026
• Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No · -$5 · Jul 30, 2026
• Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?No · -$1 · Jul 30, 2026
• Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes · -$1 · Jul 30, 2026
• Will GameStop acquire eBay?

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