radianer · Polymarket wallet 0xd95f…3181

Wallet snapshot

radianer has made 54 trades on Polymarket across 32 markets, $434 in volume. Most of it is in politics (38%) and geopolitics (31%). On 27 resolved markets the win rate is 77.8%. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Jun 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $22 · 94¢ → 98¢
• Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No · $17 · 71¢ → 97¢
• Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes · $1 · 13¢ → 3¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes · $0 · 12¢ → 2¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes · -$3 · Jun 11, 2026
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · -$14 · Jun 11, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes · +$10 · Jun 11, 2026
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · +$0 · May 6, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · +$1 · May 6, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No · +$1 · May 6, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No · +$0 · May 6, 2026
• Trump out as President by March 31?No · +$0 · May 6, 2026
• Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?No · +$0 · Mar 9, 2026
• Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? No · +$2 · Jan 22, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.