Medical-Civilisation · Polymarket wallet 0xd776…8c9a

Wallet snapshot

Medical-Civilisation has made 62 trades on Polymarket across 16 markets, $773 in volume. Most of it is in tech (19%) and geopolitics (13%). On 14 resolved markets the win rate is 78.6%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?". Last trade: Aug 1, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes · $16 · 34¢ → 67¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $2 · 91¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?Yes · +$4 · Mar 12, 2026
• Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?Yes · +$23 · Jan 14, 2026
• OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?No · +$0 · Jan 1, 2026
• Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in November 2025?Yes · +$1 · Dec 9, 2025
• Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in November 2025?Yes · -$26 · Dec 9, 2025
• Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?Yes · -$0 · Dec 9, 2025
• Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender?No · -$13 · Nov 20, 2025
• OpenAI browser by September 30?No · +$1 · Oct 1, 2025
• OpenAI social app in 2025?No · +$0 · Sep 30, 2025

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.