Polymarket wallet 0xd6d1…e8aa

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xd6d1…e8aa has made 92 trades on Polymarket across 91 markets, $119 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (10%) and economics (9%). On 79 resolved markets the win rate is 59.5%, lifetime P&L -$1. It holds 8 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?". Last trade: Nov 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?Yes · $2 · 34¢ → 59¢
• Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026?No · $1 · 58¢ → 81¢
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?No · $1 · 64¢ → 65¢
• Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?Yes · $1 · 44¢ → 44¢
• Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?Yes · $1 · 31¢ → 28¢
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?Yes · $1 · 37¢ → 31¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?Yes · $1 · 25¢ → 14¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?Yes · $1 · 25¢ → 13¢

Latest closed positions

• Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?No · +$0 · Nov 7, 2026
• Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?No · -$1 · Nov 7, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Nov 7, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?Yes · +$1 · Nov 6, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 6, 2026
• Will the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in October?No · +$0 · Nov 6, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.