torian · Polymarket wallet 0xd205…a98c

Wallet snapshot

torian has made 269 trades on Polymarket across 60 markets, $31K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (61%) and economics (24%). On 57 resolved markets the win rate is 96.5%, lifetime P&L +$290. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?". Last trade: Sep 2, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No · $560 · 96¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No · +$13 · Sep 16, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No · +$6 · Aug 31, 2026
• Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota TwinsYes · +$31 · Aug 14, 2026
• Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Norway?No · +$44 · Jul 5, 2026
• Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 0 France?No · +$14 · Jul 4, 2026
• Will Gold (GC) settle over $7,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?No · +$4 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No · +$0 · Jun 30, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No · +$2 · Jun 27, 2026
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No · +$0 · Jun 26, 2026
• Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,500 on the final trading day of June 2026?No · +$2 · Jun 26, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.