Sunshao · Polymarket wallet 0xcf00…68ba

Wallet snapshot

Sunshao has made 131 trades on Polymarket across 111 markets, $5,556 in volume. Most of it is in politics (27%) and crypto (16%). On 107 resolved markets the win rate is 84.1%. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?". Last trade: Oct 7, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · $12 · 100¢ → 100¢
• Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?No · $4 · 87¢ → 98¢
• Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31No · $3 · 90¢ → 95¢

Latest closed positions

• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No · -$0 · Sep 3, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes · +$0 · Aug 22, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No · +$0 · Jul 27, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No · +$3 · Jun 15, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?No · +$33 · Jun 12, 2026
• Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?No · +$0 · Jun 6, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?No · +$2 · Jun 3, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?No · +$0 · Jun 2, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes · +$1 · May 30, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?No · +$1 · May 28, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.