Polymarket wallet 0xceba…3312

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xceba…3312 has made 358 trades on Polymarket across 150 markets, $899 in volume. Most of it is in sports (74%) and geopolitics (13%). On 143 resolved markets the win rate is 55.2%, lifetime P&L +$23. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 5, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No · $4 · 96¢ → 97¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $3 · 52¢ → 87¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?No · $2 · 91¢ → 95¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · $2 · 85¢ → 88¢
• Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes · $1 · 28¢ → 14¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Yes · +$0 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$0 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Yes · -$1 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Yes · +$2 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes · +$0 · Sep 30, 2026

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