PoliticsResolved
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$287.6K
4,167 trades
Smart Whales
135
of 591 traders
Smart Money Consensus
35 YESvs100 NO
26%74%
74% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 62% YES by dollars · 19 YES vs 22 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $14.8K is directional: YES $9.2K·NO $5.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$11.3K
Avg Win Rate
55.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$10.4K(-91.8%)
Whales
35
F
flawfence◆Proven🥇
Entry 10¢·74,281.3 shares
Invested
$7.8K
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-7759
$-7759INV $7.8K · WR 55.4%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥈hedged
Entry 89¢·1,272.9 shares·also $183 on NO
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-1128
$-1128INV $1.1K · WR 55.3%
G
GroovyCr0c0dil3🥉
Entry 39¢·1,499.7 shares
Invested
$588
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-587
$-587INV $588 · WR 57.9%
T
tunatyler◆Proven
Entry 11¢·4,000 shares
Invested
$440
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-440
$-440INV $440 · WR 58.8%
Z
zetbetter
Entry 14¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-140
$-140INV $140 · WR 55.1%
D
dsoperative
Entry 15¢·795.5 shares
Invested
$119
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-119
$-119INV $119 · WR 60.3%
B
BiDiFakePolls◆Proven
Entry 10¢·911.8 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-96
$-96INV $96 · WR 62.5%
Y
YouSayUpISayDown
Entry 9¢·347.3 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $32 · WR 59.7%
S
SusanWarrenHR◆Proven
Entry 13¢·110 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $15 · WR 67.5%
R
reblochon1
Entry 20¢·70.3 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $14 · WR 62.5%
Showing top 10 of 35
NO Team
Total Invested
$135.1K
Avg Win Rate
75.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$78.6K(+58.2%)
Whales
100
L
LulaVaiPerder🥇
Entry 60¢·87,521.6 shares
Invested
$52.9K
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
+$34648
+$34648INV $52.9K · WR 75.2%
T
ThanksGivingTurkey1001🥈
Entry 83¢·37,451.1 shares
Invested
$31.0K
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
+$6424
+$6424INV $31.0K · WR 69.7%
B
Bigggggggg🥉
Entry 54¢·15,858.3 shares
Invested
$8.6K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$7262
+$7262INV $8.6K · WR 85.8%
D
donthackme
Entry 60¢·11,172.2 shares
Invested
$6.7K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$4467
+$4467INV $6.7K · WR 87.7%
R
Renan2030
Entry 36¢·17,826.3 shares
Invested
$6.5K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$11351
+$11351INV $6.5K · WR 77.3%
C
conherence
Entry 89¢·4,868.8 shares
Invested
$4.3K
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$526
+$526INV $4.3K · WR 58.8%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 60¢·5,931.1 shares
Invested
$3.6K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$2376
+$2376INV $3.6K · WR 85.9%
6
65765757
Entry 50¢·5,901.3 shares
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
+$2951
+$2951INV $3.0K · WR 78.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 31¢·8,754.8 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$6069
+$6069INV $2.7K · WR 72.2%
A
aviato
Entry 99¢·1,131.3 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
91.3%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $1.1K · WR 91.3%
Showing top 10 of 100
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