Reflecting-Essay · Polymarket wallet 0xcc4d…ebb9

Wallet snapshot

Reflecting-Essay has made 46 trades on Polymarket across 30 markets, $864 in volume. Most of it is in sports (23%) and crypto (17%). On 25 resolved markets the win rate is 72%. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?". Last trade: Jul 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No · $10 · 96¢ → 99¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $3 · 51¢ → 49¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes · $1 · 50¢ → 6¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?Yes · +$0 · Apr 7, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETNo · -$1 · Apr 4, 2026
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes · -$1 · Apr 4, 2026
• Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 4?Yes · -$1 · Apr 4, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETYes · +$1 · Apr 3, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETYes · +$0 · Apr 3, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETYes · +$1 · Apr 3, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETYes · -$1 · Apr 3, 2026
• Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes · +$1 · Mar 12, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4?Yes · +$0 · Mar 12, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.