Aristotelii · Polymarket wallet 0xcbb7…1d88

Wallet snapshot

Aristotelii has made 118 trades on Polymarket across 22 markets, $7,204 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (86%) and politics (9%). On 19 resolved markets the win rate is 63.2%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?". Last trade: Mar 18, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No · $36 · 68¢ → 12¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes · $32 · 52¢ → 6¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?No · -$40 · Apr 10, 2026
• Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?No · -$30 · Apr 10, 2026
• Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?No · +$5 · Apr 10, 2026
• Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Yes · -$100 · Apr 2, 2026
• Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes · -$21 · Apr 1, 2026
• Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?No · +$40 · Mar 12, 2026
• Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 8, 2026?Yes · +$5 · Mar 8, 2026
• Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?Yes · +$63 · Mar 8, 2026
• Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?No · +$47 · Mar 8, 2026
• Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?No · +$3 · Mar 7, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.