Insecure-Craftsman · Polymarket wallet 0xc621…94b2

Wallet snapshot

Insecure-Craftsman has made 40 trades on Polymarket across 14 markets, $903 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (93%) and sports (7%). On 12 resolved markets the win rate is 66.7%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?". Last trade: Jun 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $86 · 52¢ → 95¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes · $5 · 46¢ → 6¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes · -$47 · Jun 15, 2026
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes · +$10 · Jun 15, 2026
• Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?Yes · -$30 · Apr 19, 2026
• Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?Yes · -$80 · Apr 16, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes · +$44 · Apr 8, 2026
• Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 8, 2026?Yes · +$12 · Mar 8, 2026
• Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?Yes · +$7 · Mar 7, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No · +$3 · Mar 7, 2026
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes · +$3 · Mar 4, 2026
• Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Mar 2, 2026

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