Instructive-Friction · Polymarket wallet 0xc54d…8be1

+$4,545 lifetime P&L · 72.1% win rate · 129 resolved markets · 0xc54dd852ab86e409c69667f6295780b753c88be1

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Wallet snapshot

Instructive-Friction has made 2,934 trades on Polymarket across 152 markets, $112K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (23%) and economics (17%). On 129 resolved markets the win rate is 72.1%, lifetime P&L +$4,545. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Cambria FDV above $200M one day after launch?". Last trade: Oct 17, 2026.

Largest open positions

Cambria FDV above $200M one day after launch?No · $5 · 98¢ → 96¢
Will BNB dip to $400 by December 31, 2026?Yes · $1 · 80¢ → 8¢
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No · $0 · 82¢ → 93¢

Latest closed positions

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsYes · -$1 · Oct 17, 2026
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · -$0 · Oct 17, 2026
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-10-15?No · -$1 · Oct 16, 2026
East Carolina vs. UABYes · -$1 · Oct 16, 2026
LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-InNo · -$0 · Oct 16, 2026
Kraken vs. LightningNo · -$1 · Oct 16, 2026
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-10-15?No · -$0 · Oct 16, 2026
Canadiens vs. CapitalsYes · -$1 · Oct 15, 2026
Canadiens vs. Capitals: O/U 4.5Yes · -$1 · Oct 14, 2026
Exact Score: Kyoto Sanga FC 0 - 3 Ratchaburi FC?No · -$0 · Oct 13, 2026

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