Polymarket wallet 0xc3ae…e8c9

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xc3ae…e8c9 has made 300 trades on Polymarket across 173 markets, $485 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (11%) and economics (11%). On 159 resolved markets the win rate is 56.6%, lifetime P&L +$21. It holds 8 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Vertiv (VRT) Q3 adjusted operating margin 24% to 26%?". Last trade: Oct 28, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Vertiv (VRT) Q3 adjusted operating margin 24% to 26%?Yes · $1 · 73¢ → 100¢
• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?Yes · $1 · 70¢ → 83¢
• Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?No · $1 · 66¢ → 78¢
• Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?No · $1 · 72¢ → 82¢
• Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Yes · $1 · 73¢ → 81¢
• Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of October 2026?No · $1 · 45¢ → 49¢
• Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?Yes · $1 · 33¢ → 32¢
• Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?No · $1 · 73¢ → 68¢

Latest closed positions

• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Yes · +$0 · Oct 28, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?Yes · +$0 · Oct 27, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 27, 2026
• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?No · -$1 · Oct 26, 2026
• Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?No · -$1 · Oct 26, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 26, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.