cosg10 · Polymarket wallet 0xc319…0e0c

Wallet snapshot

cosg10 has made 458 trades on Polymarket across 86 markets, $38K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (41%) and politics (21%). On 81 resolved markets the win rate is 58%, lifetime P&L +$8,431. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Jul 2, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $5 · 96¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?Yes · +$44 · Jul 2, 2026
• Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No · +$170 · Jun 21, 2026
• US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14No · -$210 · Jun 15, 2026
• Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?No · -$550 · Jun 14, 2026
• U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? No · -$462 · Jun 13, 2026
• Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?No · -$230 · Jun 10, 2026
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?No · +$8 · Jun 8, 2026
• Will the Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands) be part of the next Government of Denmark?Yes · -$291 · Jun 4, 2026
• Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo · +$144 · Jun 4, 2026
• Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?Yes · +$5 · Jun 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.