TestMan · Polymarket wallet 0xc2ed…2cfa

Wallet snapshot

TestMan has made 223 trades on Polymarket across 72 markets, $24K in volume. Most of it is in sports (27%) and crypto (20%). On 58 resolved markets the win rate is 67.2%, lifetime P&L +$90. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?No · $5 · 95¢ → 91¢
• Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No · $4 · 89¢ → 100¢
• Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?No · $4 · 95¢ → 99¢
• Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $4 · 98¢ → 100¢

Latest closed positions

• Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?No · +$0 · Oct 11, 2026
• Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?No · +$0 · Aug 23, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3?Yes · +$0 · Aug 3, 2026
• New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes · -$1 · Aug 1, 2026
• SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? No · +$1 · Aug 1, 2026
• Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• 100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Netanyahu out by June 30?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.