bgdogbit · Polymarket wallet 0xc111…a00c

Wallet snapshot

bgdogbit has made 72 trades on Polymarket across 18 markets, $2,648 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (39%) and tech (28%). On 10 resolved markets the win rate is 70%, lifetime P&L +$159. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Sep 25, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?No · $129 · 41¢ → 81¢
• Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?No · $113 · 28¢ → 77¢
• Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes · $32 · 45¢ → 25¢
• Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes · $18 · 19¢ → 11¢
• Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes · $5 · 10¢ → 7¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes · -$1 · Sep 25, 2026
• Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?No · +$18 · Sep 1, 2026
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No · +$22 · Jul 16, 2026
• Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes · +$36 · Jun 9, 2026
• Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?No · +$53 · Jun 1, 2026
• Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?No · +$72 · May 13, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.