Tech/AI19 days left
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$173.5K
2,414 trades
Smart Whales
62
of 493 traders
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
2 MARKETS · $257.7K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
23 YESvs39 NO
37%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 21 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%
+1 new YES$0+1 new NO$20
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $11.3K is directional: YES $127·NO $11.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$3.2K
Avg Win Rate
64.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.9K(-89.9%)
Whales
23
K
KiernanMeister🥇hedged
Entry 115¢·1,979.2 shares·also $927 on NO
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-2246
$-2246INV $2.3K · WR 63.4%
R
real-hero-himmel🥈
Entry 95¢·233.3 shares
Invested
$223
Win Rate
77.7%
Position P&L
$-218
$-218INV $223 · WR 77.7%
C
Contentious-Dinnerdate🥉hedged
Entry 36¢·618.1 shares·also $643 on NO
Invested
$221
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-209
$-209INV $221 · WR 56.0%
P
Puzzled-Footballhedged
Entry 32¢·233.3 shares·also $115 on NO
Invested
$74
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
$-69
$-69INV $74 · WR 82.0%
F
FrozenParasite
Entry 8¢·817 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $64 · WR 56.4%
G
gangOgang
Entry 10¢·500 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
$-44
$-44INV $52 · WR 70.0%
H
hotcatcat
Entry 6¢·380 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $25 · WR 60.0%
R
rpontici
Entry 21¢·21.1 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 88.9%
T
tinman2
Entry 6¢·50 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 65.9%
N
Nonstop-Tailspin
Entry 21¢·10 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
77.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 77.9%
Showing top 10 of 23
NO Team
Total Invested
$13.4K
Avg Win Rate
77.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$9.3K(+69.4%)
Whales
39
N
nonkenny90◆Proven🥇
Entry 84¢·5,145.6 shares
Invested
$4.3K
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
+$714
+$714INV $4.3K · WR 90.9%
Q
QMG-CORE🥈
Entry 93¢·3,005.6 shares
Invested
$2.8K
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
+$140
+$140INV $2.8K · WR 81.2%
J
Jjw🥉
Entry 92¢·1,886.1 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$123
+$123INV $1.7K · WR 79.1%
K
KiernanMeisterhedged
Entry 11¢·8,775.1 shares·also $2.3K on YES
Invested
$927
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$7672
+$7672INV $927 · WR 63.4%
R
Rumpelstiltskin
Entry 80¢·1,012.5 shares
Invested
$806
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$185
+$185INV $806 · WR 57.1%
E
EsperanzasDESTROYER
Entry 94¢·779.3 shares
Invested
$733
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $733 · WR 67.0%
C
Contentious-Dinnerdatehedged
Entry 104¢·618.1 shares·also $221 on YES
Invested
$643
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $643 · WR 56.0%
C
coshi
Entry 93¢·500 shares
Invested
$465
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $465 · WR 56.0%
A
Anjun◆Proven
Entry 93¢·333 shares
Invested
$310
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $310 · WR 58.8%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 31¢·440.2 shares
Invested
$138
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$293
+$293INV $138 · WR 70.5%
Showing top 10 of 39
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