Polymarket wallet 0xbfdb…3585

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xbfdb…3585 has made 107 trades on Polymarket across 39 markets, $177 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (50%) and politics (32%). On 30 resolved markets the win rate is 93.3%, lifetime P&L +$0. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?". Last trade: Nov 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $2 · 87¢ → 92¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 20?Yes · $2 · 91¢ → 91¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?Yes · $2 · 86¢ → 91¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?Yes · $1 · 80¢ → 85¢
• Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?No · $1 · 84¢ → 85¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?No · $1 · 78¢ → 80¢

Latest closed positions

• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?Yes · +$0 · Nov 9, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes · +$0 · Nov 9, 2026
• Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Yes · +$0 · Nov 8, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?Yes · +$0 · Nov 6, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?Yes · +$0 · Nov 5, 2026
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes · +$1 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.