texo12327418 · Polymarket wallet 0xbdf6…5a54

Wallet snapshot

texo12327418 has made 201 trades on Polymarket across 91 markets, $20K in volume. Most of it is in sports (33%) and geopolitics (11%). On 78 resolved markets the win rate is 60.3%. It holds 10 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?". Last trade: Sep 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No · $98 · 96¢ → 99¢
• Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No · $53 · 92¢ → 97¢
• SBF released from custody in 2026?No · $6 · 92¢ → 99¢
• Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No · $4 · 65¢ → 94¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $2 · 81¢ → 96¢
• Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?No · $2 · 94¢ → 98¢
• US recession by end of 2026?No · $1 · 70¢ → 93¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $1 · 93¢ → 98¢
• Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes · $1 · 0¢ → 0¢
• Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes · $0 · 1¢ → 0¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · +$0 · Sep 11, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?No · -$1 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 25?Yes · +$0 · Jul 25, 2026
• Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · -$56 · Jul 20, 2026
• Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No · +$0 · Jul 16, 2026
• Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 3?No · -$1 · Jul 3, 2026
• Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 3?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.