balyd · Polymarket wallet 0xbd5d…6ace

Wallet snapshot

balyd has made 403 trades on Polymarket across 182 markets, $27K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (35%) and geopolitics (20%). On 171 resolved markets the win rate is 90.1%, lifetime P&L +$307. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Xi Jinping out before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 31, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · $491 · 96¢ → 98¢
• Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?Yes · $78 · 99¢ → 98¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in November?No · $50 · 99¢ → 100¢
• Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes · $50 · 99¢ → 99¢
• Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?Yes · $31 · 99¢ → 99¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No · $24 · 92¢ → 94¢
• Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?No · $23 · 97¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Will a 9.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?No · +$1 · Nov 4, 2026
• Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?No · +$2 · Nov 1, 2026
• US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?No · +$1 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?No · +$3 · Nov 1, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?No · +$0 · Nov 1, 2026
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No · +$4 · Nov 1, 2026
• Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.