brightleaf · Polymarket wallet 0xbb9f…fde1

Wallet snapshot

brightleaf has made 1,441 trades on Polymarket across 386 markets, $80K in volume. Most of it is in sports (77%) and geopolitics (12%). On 383 resolved markets the win rate is 64.2%, lifetime P&L +$1,354. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?". Last trade: Oct 6, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $469 · 57¢ → 87¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $397 · 79¢ → 79¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes · -$403 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes · -$14 · Oct 1, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No · +$203 · Oct 1, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes · +$48 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes · +$51 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes · -$353 · Sep 24, 2026
• Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes · +$49 · Sep 23, 2026
• Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?Yes · +$70 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes · +$90 · Sep 21, 2026
• Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes · +$94 · Sep 20, 2026

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