zenba · Polymarket wallet 0xb8af…1928

+$167 lifetime P&L · 83.3% win rate · 12 resolved markets · 0xb8afe850243e2065414407f1c8d02d7d0b531928

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Wallet snapshot

zenba has made 32 trades on Polymarket across 16 markets, $1,321 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (44%) and politics (25%). On 12 resolved markets the win rate is 83.3%, lifetime P&L +$167. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Oct 3, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $203 · 96¢ → 98¢
Lai Ching-te visits US by December 31?No · $104 · 90¢ → 94¢
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Yes · $58 · 65¢ → 76¢
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?No · $44 · 55¢ → 59¢

Latest closed positions

Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by September 30?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No · +$4 · Oct 1, 2026
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?Yes · +$9 · Sep 30, 2026
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes · +$80 · Sep 24, 2026
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?Yes · +$21 · Jul 15, 2026
US government shutdown Saturday?No · -$5 · Mar 24, 2026
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?No · +$12 · Jan 31, 2026
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No · +$12 · Jan 23, 2026
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes · +$15 · Jan 23, 2026
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No · +$8 · Jan 23, 2026

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