Polymarket wallet 0xb649…8461

+$0 lifetime P&L · 76.9% win rate · 13 resolved markets · 0xb6491ca60ebdd8ee2c805f89bc08bb65d9b68461

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Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xb649…8461 has made 74 trades on Polymarket across 39 markets, $218 in volume. Most of it is in politics (46%) and crypto (22%). On 13 resolved markets the win rate is 76.9%, lifetime P&L +$0. It holds 24 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?". Last trade: Oct 31, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No · $12 · 97¢ → 97¢
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?No · $7 · 79¢ → 81¢
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes · $6 · 27¢ → 35¢
UFC Fight Night: Piera Rodriguez vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)Yes · $6 · 73¢ → 73¢
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No · $6 · 43¢ → 52¢
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes · $5 · 67¢ → 71¢
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes · $4 · 98¢ → 99¢
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No · $4 · 94¢ → 95¢
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?No · $4 · 97¢ → 98¢
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?No · $4 · 97¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 31, 2026
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?Yes · -$0 · Oct 31, 2026
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of October 26 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 31, 2026
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 26 2026?No · -$6 · Oct 31, 2026
Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?No · -$0 · Oct 30, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 30, 2026
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?

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