cejand · Polymarket wallet 0xb524…6ef8

Wallet snapshot

cejand has made 454 trades on Polymarket across 49 markets, $48K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (39%) and geopolitics (20%). On 46 resolved markets the win rate is 93.5%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Sep 18, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $68 · 95¢ → 98¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes · $1 · 10¢ → 2¢

Latest closed positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No · +$1 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$0 · Oct 5, 2026
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · +$1 · Sep 18, 2026
• Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$3 · Aug 20, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes · +$2 · Aug 13, 2026
• Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$0 · Aug 12, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes · +$2 · Jul 31, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes · +$5 · Jul 28, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · +$2 · Jul 26, 2026
• Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?No · +$1 · Jul 20, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.