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PoliticsResolved

Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$7.62M
51,221 trades
Smart Whales
392
of 4,813 traders

Brazil Presidential Election

3 MARKETS · $49.42M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

126 YESvs266 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 73% YES by dollars · 38 YES vs 31 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $12.1K is directional: YES $8.9K·NO $3.2K
YES Team
Total Invested
$12.5K
Avg Win Rate
76.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$8.9K(-71.3%)
Whales
126
P
ProfessionalPunterProven🥇
Entry 3¢·120,816 shares
$-3776INV $3.8K · WR 74.6%
D
debasedProven🥈
Entry 3¢·38,575.7 shares
$-1205INV $1.2K · WR 65.9%
K
kneelbeforetheking🥉
Entry 3¢·30,000 shares
$-937INV $937 · WR 92.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 3¢·24,442.9 shares
$-764INV $764 · WR 79.6%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 3¢·18,945 shares
$-592INV $592 · WR 85.8%
B
balthazar
Entry 3¢·16,792.5 shares
$-525INV $525 · WR 72.2%
A
arjennnnn
Entry 3¢·13,209.6 shares
$-424INV $424 · WR 87.5%
D
diadjaid
Entry 3¢·4,500 shares
$-141INV $141 · WR 55.4%
R
redardedonline
Entry 2¢·6,364.5 shares
$-110INV $113 · WR 69.2%
J
Jovial-Remains-Scarf
Entry 3¢·3,438.7 shares
$-106INV $107 · WR 90.4%
Showing top 10 of 126

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 32% YES: Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian…