9898 · Polymarket wallet 0xb2ef…baca

Wallet snapshot

9898 has made 57 trades on Polymarket across 49 markets, $2,797 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (16%) and crypto (16%). On 40 resolved markets the win rate is 90%, lifetime P&L +$6. It holds 8 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Oct 29, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $70 · 98¢ → 98¢
• Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes · $42 · 99¢ → 97¢
• Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No · $22 · 92¢ → 98¢
• Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?No · $20 · 98¢ → 97¢
• China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No · $20 · 96¢ → 95¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $10 · 96¢ → 95¢
• Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes · $8 · 70¢ → 76¢
• Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes · $2 · 31¢ → 24¢

Latest closed positions

• Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?No · +$0 · Oct 29, 2026
• Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?No · +$0 · Oct 29, 2026
• Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?No · +$0 · Oct 29, 2026
• Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 29, 2026
• Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 29, 2026
• Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?No · +$0 · Oct 29, 2026
• Will 90 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.